基于混合核函数ARS-SVR的风帆助航船油耗预测模型

打开文本图片集

中图分类号：U676.3；TP183 文献标志码：A

Abstract： In order to effctively predict the fuel consumption of ships，a ship fuel consumption prediction model based on a hybrid kernel function is proposed. The support vector regression（SVR）models of the radial basis function（RBF）and the polynomial single-kernel function are constructed respectively，and adaptive random search （ARS）algorithm is used to optimize them. On this basis，the ship fuel consumption prediction model based on the hybrid kernel function ARS-SVR is established.A sailasisted very large crude carier（VLCC） is used as the research object，and the ship fuel consumption

prediction is carried out based on the real ship monitoring data.The results show that compared with the single RBF and the polynomial single-kernel ARS-SVR，the root mean square error of the prediction result by the model based on the hybrid kernel function ARS-SVR is reduced by 19.8% and 30.2% ！ respectively. The proposed ship fuel consumption prediction model can improve the accuracy of the calculation of the sail-assisted ship fuel consumption，and is helpful to optimize the energy efficiency of ships and improve the management technology.

Key words： fuel consumption prediction； sail-assisted navigation；adaptive random search （ARS）： hybrid kernel function；ship energy efficiency

0 引言

在清洁能源推广和节能减排深化的背景下，提升船舶能效管理显得尤为关键。（剩余9220字）