赤峰市农业气候年景评估技术研究

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关键词：气候年景；农业年景；赤峰市

中图分类号：S165.27 文献标志码：A 文章编号：2097-2172（2025）08-0748-08

doi：10.3969/j.issn.2097-2172.2025.08.011

Study on Agricultural and Climatic Status Assessment Technology in Chifeng

YUAN Li’，XU Liqiang²， ZHAO Yanan1 （1.Chifeng MeteorologicalBureau，Chifeng Inner MongoliaO240o，China; 2.Ningcheng County Meteorological Bureau， Ningcheng Inner Mongolia O2420o， China）

Abstract：Inresponse tothe increasing frequencyof extreme weather events in Chifeng，acomprehensive standardforannual agriculturalandclimaticstatusassessmentinthecitywasestablishedtolaythfoundationforgriculturalclimateearforecasting. Basednrelevantstandardsofanualclimaticstatus，datafrom14nationalbasicandbenchmarkmeteorologicaloservationstations inChifengdurig199120icdingtemprature，prcipiatiosshneoursoundmiutmperature，ndelatiesue index（M），wereused toconstructaclimateandweatherindexcalculationmethodsuitableforagriculturalproductionin Chifeng.The methodintegratedbothmeteorologicalelementsanddisasters.Maindisastertypeswereselectedacordingtolocalclimatic characteristics toconductanojectiveandquantitativeaessmentof agricuturalclimateyears，nderesults werevalidatedusing yielddata.Resultsshowedthatmeteorologicalelementconditionsshowedinsignificantinterannualvartionsinrecentyears，while meteorologicaldisasterconditionsexhibitedadeterioratingtrend.Theagriculturalclimateyearindexdemonstratedasignificant upward trendatO.78perdecade.Theasessmentresultswere generallyconsistent withchanges inagriculturalyield，withabasic consistency rate（discrepancy within two levels） of 86.67% ，indicating the index can qualitatively reflect annual agricultural conditions.Thefindingsprovideascientific，quantiativereferenceforclimateservicesbytheChifeng MeteorologicalDepartent and can also support climate year assessments in agricultural sectors.

Key Words： Annual climate status; Annual agriculture status; Chifeng City

农业是赤峰市主要产业之一，农牧民人口占总人口 3/4 。（剩余10327字）