基于拦截概率的多弹区域协同覆盖制导方法

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中图分类号：V448.23 文献标志码：A DOI：10.12305/j.issn.1001-506X.2025.06.29

Abstract：A cooperative coverage guidance method for multiple missiles region based on interception probability is proposed toaddress issues of significant ballstic dispersion and diferences in misile interception regions in long-range air defense multiple missiles cooperative interception missons with the condition of lowaccuracy.Firstly，a nonlinear fiting of the miss distance probability distribution obtained by Monte Carlo simulations is performed to establish an interception probability model for interception coverage regions.This model serves as a coverage node in the regional coverage optimization problem，with the highest regional interception probability as the coverage optimization criterion. Secondly，an improved Circle and Tent mapping hybrid strategy adaptive particle swarm optimization（CT-HAPSO） regional coverage algorithm is designed. The proposed algorithm optimizes the allcation of interception region of each missile within the target error region.The alocated node positions are used as the midcourse guidance points for each misile.By merging high-probability interception regionsand low-probability overlapping interceptionregions，theoverall highprobability interception region is expanded，improving the overall interception probabilityof coverage region. Finally，the effectivenessof the proposed method is verified through guidance simulations ina three-dimensional scenario.

Keywords： interception probability； cooperative coverage； target error region； particle swarm optimization（PSO）algorithm

0 引言

随着军事技术的不断发展，远程目标的空中威胁愈显严重，如何将对手拒止于千里之外成为当下的迫切需求[]。（剩余18303字）