基于学科交叉的未来产业识别研究

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中图分类号：S336 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1008-0864（2025）07-0010-10

Study on Identification of Future Industries Based on Interdisciplinary

SHI Min，XUZhenyan，LUOJian* （Business School，Hunan Agricultural University，Changsha 41O128，China）

Abstract：Thefutureindustryisdrivenbycuting-edgetechnology，anditisthekeytograsptheinitiativeoffuture development.Ithascharacteristicsofcuting-edgetechnology，crossfusionandstrategic，which issameasinterdisciplnary studies，soitisfeasibletocarryoutfutureindustryidentificationbasedoninterdisciplinarystudies.Asanfrontier interdisciplinaryfeldrelatedtonationalfoodsecurityandhuman lifeandhealth，thefieldofbio-breding hasahuge industrialspaceinthefuture.Itisof greatsignificancetostudyontheidentificationoffutureindustriesinthefeldofbiobredingbasedoninterdisciplinary.According tothe technologypushmodel，thetechnologydrivebeginswithbasic research，which isgenerallycharacterizedbytheuseof joumaliterature，hencetheuseof journaldataasadata source. Firstly，highlyinterdisciplinary literature wasscreenedusing thecomprehensive indicator measureof disciplinarydiversity， thenthetechnologyclusterswereobtainedbythememiningofthreeconsecutive time-periodsofliteratureusingthelatent dirichletalocation（LDA）model，andfinallyidentifyingthefutureindustryofbio-breedingthrough thetrendof theme change，anddiscoveringthefutureidustrialappicatioscenariosthrough theanalysesofthesub-divisionsof thetechnology clustersandthecooperating organizations.3future industrial technologyclusters infieldofbio-breeding：synthetic biology， bioinformatics，andbiologyandenvironmentweresuccesfullyidentified.Theidentifcationresultswereconsistentwiththe industry，indicatingthefeasibilityofthemethod.Theaplicationscenariosofthesubieldsandinstitutionsofthefuture industrialtechnologyclustersinfieldofbio-breeding werefurtheranalyzed，whichprovideddecisionsupportforthelayoutof future industries in the field of bio-breeding by government and laboratory.

KeyWords：interdisciplinarity；future industries；topic model;biological breeding

未来产业是把握未来发展主动权的关键所在，各国纷纷布局未来产业。（剩余13674字）