基于AHP-FCE的煤矿火灾风险评价研究

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中图分类号：TD752 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1671−251X（2025）07−0052−07

Abstract：Traditional coal mine fire assessment methodsare highly subjective and lack comprehensive evaluation indicators，making theresultsdifficult to quantify and compare acrosscases，which affects their objectivityand accuracy.Toaddress theabove isses，acoal mine fire risk assessment method based onthe Analytic Hierarchy Process（AHP）and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation （FCE）was proposed.Based on the characteristics of coal mine fires，a fire risk assessment system was constructed，with four first-level indicators—Personnel，Equipment，Environment，and Management—and 31 second-level indicators.These included whether hot work personnel held valid permitsandreceived training，theprogressofthe working face， CO concentration in the returnair corner，and whether floating coal near the belt was promptlycleaned.AHP was used to determine the weights of the second-level indicators，indicating that Equipment and Environment had a greater impact on fire risk.FCE was applied to calculate the fire risk assessment vector of the mine，and a fourcolor graded early warning result was provided for the comprehensive fire risk assessment value，along with the scoring criteria for the second-level indicators.Based on multiple sets of real-time monitoring data from the Wudong Coal Mine，the AHP-FCE-based fire risk assessment method was used toevaluate the mine's fire risk. The results showed that the fire risk at Wudong Coal Mine was low and classified as blue，consistent with engineering practice， demonstrating that the proposed assessment method had high accuracy.

Key words： coal mine fire risk assessment; fire monitoring and early warning; analytic hierarchy process; fuzzy comprehensive evaluation; four-color graded warning

0引言

近年来，我国煤矿火灾事故呈现递减趋势，但特大事故仍时有发生[1-2]。（剩余9789字）