基于GMCR⁃AHP的农村留守老年人养老资源配置冲突分析

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Conflict analysis of endowment resource allocation for rural left⁃behind elderly based on GMCR⁃AHP

WANG Xinzhe, LIU Maoang, KONG Yang

School of Health Management, Binzhou Medical University, Shandong 264003 China

Corresponding Author  KONG Yang, E⁃mail: kongyang@bzmc.edu.cn

Abstract  Objective:To analyze the interest relationship between different subjects involved in the process of supporting the left⁃behind elderly in rural areas,and to provide strategic suggestions for improving the reasonable allocation of rural supporting resources.Methods:Analytic hierarchy process(AHP) and graph model for conflict resolution(GMCR) were used to construct the GMCR⁃AHP model of the interest demands of the government,pension institutions,families and the elderly,analyze and optimize the conflicts among the relevant subjects in the current allocation of pension resources for the left⁃behind elderly in rural areas,and explore the global stable state of the interest balance of each subject.Results:Through conflict analysis,the equilibrium solution is YNYNNYNY,that is,the government improves supporting policies and leads the old⁃age care work.Old-age care institutions strive for more government subsidies to expand the range of old⁃age care services;children in the family can not take care of the elderly,choose institutions for the aged;the elderly themselves are eager to get more government economic policy support to ease the pressure of family pension.Conclusions:In order to alleviate the conflict of interests of various subjects under the dilemma of supply and demand of rural pension resources and rationally allocate rural pension resources,the government should lead the cooperative governance of multiple subjects and increase the investment in rural pension industry.Pension institutions should keep up with the change of policy direction and develop the service mode of combining medical and nursing care;Families take the health of the elderly as the first priority and support institutions for the left⁃behind elderly.At the same time,the old people themselves change the traditional pension concept and actively participate in the pension mode under the new situation.

Keywords  rural areas; left⁃behind elderly; endowment resource allocation; analytic hierarchy process, AHP; conflict analysis graph model, GMCR

摘要  目的:分析我国农村留守老年人在养老过程中涉及的不同主体之间的利益关系,为提高农村养老资源的合理配置提供策略建议。(剩余11215字)

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